The Data No one who has a scientific approach to the pandemic expected anything but this, but the numbers are stark. We are facing growth rates that dwarf anything we saw in the spring. This is especially tragic, since in a few days, we will likely start vaccinating Americans, using vaccines that have an incredible
Current Situation: Bad & Getting Worse The charts below show a leveling off and in some cases a slight drop after Thanksgiving. This is most likely a mirage, caused by reporting delays normal for a weekend and compounded by the Thanksgiving holiday. I have not encountered a single serious epidemiologist who thinks were headed for
First, I would like to thank everyone who read and commented on my last update. I have to say, I was totally bowled over by the response. At my age, I’m not a social media oriented guy. I deleted my FB account years ago. I have no Twitter account. I was kicked out of NextDoor
Note: Posts with an asterisk have some of the best comments from readers.
Zorgi’s Reading List
The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe - How to Know What’s Really Real in a World Increasingly Full of Fakeby Dr. Steven Novella. In this tie-in to their incredibly popular “The Skeptics Guide to the Universe” podcast, Steven Novella, MD along with “Skeptical Rogues” Bob Novella, Cara Santa Maria, Jay Novella, and Evan Bernstein will explain the tenets of skeptical thinking and debunk some of the biggest scientific myths, fallacies and conspiracy theories (Anti-vaccines, homeopathy, UFO sightings, etc.)
by Cailin O’Connor and James Owen Weatherall. In an age riven by factual disputes over everything from climate change to the size of inauguration crowds, the authors argue that social factors, not individual psychology, are what’s essential to understanding the persistence of false belief, and that we must know how those social forces work in order to fight misinformation effectively.
by Donald Hoffman. The world presented to us by our perceptions is nothing like reality. What’s more, he says, we have evolution itself to thank for this magnificent illusion, as it maximizes evolutionary fitness by driving truth to extinction.
By Daniel Kahneman. In the international bestseller, Thinking, Fast and Slow, Daniel Kahneman, the renowned psychologist and winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics, takes us on a groundbreaking tour of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we think. System 1 is fast, intuitive, and emotional; System 2 is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. The impact of overconfidence on corporate strategies, the difficulties of predicting what will make us happy in the future, the profound effect of cognitive biases on everything from playing the stock market to planning our next vacationeach of these can be understood only by knowing how the two systems shape our judgments and decisions.
Thank you – can I offer you a beer?
Many kind readers have offered to compensate me – everything from buying me a beer to donating money. But really, dogs don’t need money! Instead, please contribute to the Equal Justice Initiative.
Your contribution is critical to efforts to end mass incarceration and excessive punishment in the United States, challenge racial and economic injustice, and protect the basic human rights for the most vulnerable people in American society.