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  1. Home
  2. 2020
  3. May

Month: May 2020

May 31, 2020

Posted By: Zorgi the CorgiPosted On: July 5, 2020

REGULAR DAILY UPDATE The 3rd slide in today’s update has a new chart – Per Capita Cost Index. I made this chart because I realized the pandemic is not free. Hospitalizations cost money. Fatalities have a statistical monetary value. Some communities are hit very hard; others are not. A fatality represents not just a personal

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May 30, 2020

Posted By: Zorgi the CorgiPosted On: July 5, 2020

REGULAR DAILY UPDATE I’ve added two FAQ pages. P1 covers some of the questions I’ve answered many times, so from now on, I’ll direct people there if its a question answered in the FAQ. P.2 covers the new Prevalence Chart and a handful of definitions for common terms. mChart refers to the mini-charts on the

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May 29, 2020

Posted By: Zorgi the CorgiPosted On: July 5, 2020

My goal today: keep it short. I’m only going to comment on things that jump out at me. DASHBOARD TABLES & MINI-CHARTS Daily new cases are not going down across the US. We’re averaging 20K per day, but yesterday, it went up to 22,660. Most of that is an increase in testing, but some of

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May 28, 2020

Posted By: Zorgi the CorgiPosted On: July 5, 2020

I was just going to do the regular local update today, but some readers are asking about how things are going in GA, FL and TX, so I’m obliging. First, the regular update. DASHBOARD TABLES & MINI-CHARTS You’ll notice a couple of “100,000 milestones” on the tables -101,555 cases in California and 102,107 deaths in

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May 27, 2020 *

Posted By: Zorgi the CorgiPosted On: August 19, 2020

REGULAR DAILY UPDATE A Technical Note I’ve been unhappy with the doubling values and the chart based on them for some time. If you want to skip this part, jump down to the DASHBOARD section. Doubling days has been based on a formula – natural log of 2, divided by 1 + the change rate.

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May 26, 2020

Posted By: Zorgi the CorgiPosted On: July 5, 2020

REGULAR DAILY UPDATE + 13 CITY UPDATE I’m really touched by all the notes of thanks from you. I try to answer longer comments or questions, but the activity in the last two days has really picked up. If I don’t get time to upvote your note or tell you thank you, please be aware

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May 25, 2020

Posted By: Zorgi the CorgiPosted On: July 5, 2020

REGULAR DAILY UPDATE First, a huge thank you to everyone who, with just short “thank you” posts or longer messages, have encouraged me to continue. I wish I could shake all your hands, but that would break physical distancing rules. No matter. Sitting here with my wife and dog in my house, viewing my grandkids

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Ten County Update *

Posted By: Zorgi the CorgiPosted On: August 19, 2020

Proposed Changes to the Daily COVID-19 Updates – Would Like Your Opinions #1) I think I’m boxing myself in more than I need to, committing to a 10 county update every Sunday. Here are the various updates I’m juggling: regular daily update 10 county update 7 country update 13 city update 5 state update Each

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May 23, 2020

Posted By: Zorgi the CorgiPosted On: July 5, 2020

No commentary today – you be the judge!

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May 22, 2020

Posted By: Zorgi the CorgiPosted On: July 5, 2020

FIVE STATE COVID-19 SNAPSHOT – NY, CA, FL, GA, TX I decided to do the 5 State Update today, so that I could do a much shorter regular dialy update on Saturday. I changed the 5 State Dashboard to be the same as the one for 7 countries. If you need details on how it

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Zorgi’s Reading List

  • The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe - How to Know What’s Really Real in a World Increasingly Full of Fake
    by Dr. Steven Novella. In this tie-in to their incredibly popular “The Skeptics Guide to the Universe” podcast, Steven Novella, MD along with “Skeptical Rogues” Bob Novella, Cara Santa Maria, Jay Novella, and Evan Bernstein will explain the tenets of skeptical thinking and debunk some of the biggest scientific myths, fallacies and conspiracy theories (Anti-vaccines, homeopathy, UFO sightings, etc.)
  • The Misinformation Age - How False Beliefs Spread
    by Cailin O’Connor and James Owen Weatherall. In an age riven by factual disputes over everything from climate change to the size of inauguration crowds, the authors argue that social factors, not individual psychology, are what’s essential to understanding the persistence of false belief, and that we must know how those social forces work in order to fight misinformation effectively.
  • The Case Against Reality, Why Evolution Hid the Truth from our Eyes
    by Donald Hoffman. The world presented to us by our perceptions is nothing like reality. What’s more, he says, we have evolution itself to thank for this magnificent illusion, as it maximizes evolutionary fitness by driving truth to extinction.
  • Thinking, Fast and Slow
    By Daniel Kahneman. In the international bestseller, Thinking, Fast and Slow, Daniel Kahneman, the renowned psychologist and winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics, takes us on a groundbreaking tour of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we think. System 1 is fast, intuitive, and emotional; System 2 is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. The impact of overconfidence on corporate strategies, the difficulties of predicting what will make us happy in the future, the profound effect of cognitive biases on everything from playing the stock market to planning our next vacation—each of these can be understood only by knowing how the two systems shape our judgments and decisions.

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